Last december I was invited to the 4th International Conference on Optimization Methods and Software 2017 that was held in La Havana, to present the study A Multistage Stochastic Programming Model for the Optimal Bid of Wind-BESS Virtual Power Plants to Electricity Markets. This study was developed in collaboration with Marlyn Cuadrado and Josep Anton Sánchez, from my same department in the UPC, and is a partial result of the research project FOWGEM. This study is a follow up of the previous work presented in the WindFarms 2017 Conference extended with a new methodology to treat the uncertainty, based in forecasting models, and the study of the quality of the stochastic solution through the Value of the Stochastic Solution. In the animated graph you can observe how the the probability distribution of several recourse variables (optimal bid, imbalances, charge/discharge and SOC) evolves along five working days.
Publication Type | Conference Paper |
Year of Publication | 2017 |
Authors | F.-Javier Heredia; Marlyn D. Cuadrado |
Conference Name | WindFarms 2017 |
Conference Date | 31/05-02/06/2017 |
Conference Location | Madrid, Spain |
Type of Work | Invited presentation |
Key Words | research; wind farms; Ion-Li battery; multistage stochastic programming; stochastic programming |
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Publication Type | Conference Paper |
Year of Publication | 2016 |
Authors | F.-Javier Heredia; Cristina Corchero; Marlyn D. Cuadrado |
Conference Name | 28th European Conference on Operational Research |
Series Title | Conference Handbook |
Pagination | 322 |
Conference Date | 3-6/07/2016 |
Conference Location | Poznan, Poland |
Type of Work | contributed presentation. |
Key Words | research; VPP; wind generation; battery energy storage system; stochastic programming; electricity market; optimal bid |
Abstract | The recent cost reduction and technologic advances in medium to large scale Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) makes these devices a real choice alternative for wind producers operating in electricity markets. The association of a wind power farm with a BESS (the so called Virtual Power Plant VPP) provides utilities with a tool to turn the uncertainty wind power production into a dispatchable technology enabled to operate not only in the spot and adjustment markets (day-ahead and intraday markets) but also in ancillary services markets that, up to now, was forbidden to non-dispatchable technologies. Even more, recent studies have shown that the capital cost investment in BESS can only be recovered through the participation of such a VPP in the ancillary services markets. We present in this study a stochastic programming model to find the optimal participation of a VPP to the day-ahead market and secondary reserve markets (the most relevant ancillary service market) where the uncertainty in wind power generation and markets prices (day-ahead ancillary services) has been considered. A case study with real data from the Iberian Electricity Market is presented. |
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Publication Type | Proceedings Article |
Year of Publication | 2015 |
Authors | Leire Citores; Cristina Corchero; F.-Javier Heredia |
Conference Name | 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM15) |
Pagination | 1-6 |
Conference Start Date | 19-22/05/2015 |
Publisher | IEEE |
Conference Location | Lisbon, Portugal. |
ISBN Number | 978-1-4673-6691-5 |
Key Words | Microgrids; Optimization; Production; Stochastic processes; Uncertainty; Wind power generation; Wind speed; energy system optimization; microgrid; scenario generation; stochastic programming; paper; research |
Abstract | In this work a scenario-based two-stage stochastic programming model is proposed to solve a microgrid's tertiary control optimization problem taking into account some renewable energy resource's uncertainty as well as uncertain energy deviation prices in the electricity market. Scenario generation methods for wind speed realizations are also studied. Results show that the introduction of stochastic programming represents a significant improvement over a deterministic model. |
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DOI | 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216761 |
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Publication Type | Proceedings Article |
Year of Publication | 2015 |
Authors | F.-Javier Heredia; Jordi Riera; Montserrat Mata; Joan Escuer; Jordi Romeu |
Conference Name | 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM15) |
Pagination | 1- 5 |
Conference Start Date | 19/05/2015 |
Publisher | IEEE |
Conference Location | Lisbone, Portugal. |
ISBN Number | 978-1-4673-6692-2/15 |
Key Words | virtual power plants; energy economy; battery energy storage systems; electricity markets; SAS/OR; wind power; research; paper |
Abstract | Battery electric storage systems (BESS) in the range of 1-10 MWh is a key technology allowing a more efficient operation of small electricity market producer. The aim of this work is to assess the economic viability of Li-ion based BESS systems for small electricity producers. The results of the ex-post economic analysis performed with real data from the Iberian Electricity Market shows the economic viability of a Li-ion based BESS thanks to the optimal operation in day-ahead and ancillary electricity markets. |
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DOI | 10.1109/EEM.2015.7216739 |
Preprint | http://hdl.handle.net/2117/82524 |
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Publication Type | Conference Paper |
Year of Publication | 2015 |
Authors | F.-Javier Heredia; Jordi Riera; Montserrat Mata; Joan Escuer; Jordi Romeu |
Conference Name | 12th International Conference on the European Energy Market |
Conference Date | 19-22/05/2015 |
Conference Location | Lisbon, Portugal |
Type of Work | contributed presentation |
Key Words | research; MTM2013-48462-C2-1; battery electricity storage systems; electricity markets; day-ahead market; secondary reserve market; SAS/OR; wind power plants; energy economy; virtual power plant |
Abstract | Battery electric storage systems (BESS) in the range of 1-10 MWh is a key technology allowing a more efficient operation of small electricity market producer. The aim of this work is to assess the economic viability of Li-ion based BESS systems for small electricity producers. The results of the ex-post economic analysis performed with real data from the Iberian Electricity Market shows the economic viability of a Li-ion based BESS thanks to the optimal operation in day-ahead and ancillary electricity markets. |
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Publication Type | Tesis de Grau i Màster // BSc and MSc Thesis |
Year of Publication | 2014 |
Authors | Leire Citores |
Director | F.-Javier Heredia, Cristina Corchero |
Tipus de tesi | MSc Thesis |
Titulació | Master in Statistics and Operations research |
Centre | Faculty of Mathematics and Statistics |
Data defensa | 27/06/2014 |
Nota // mark | 10 MH (A with Honours) |
Key Words | research; teaching; microgrids, stochastic programming; scenario generation; wind generation; day-ahead electricity market; imbalances; MSc Thesis |
Abstract | In this thesis a scenario-based two-stage stochastic programming model is proposed to solve a microgrid's tertiary control optimization problem taking into account some renewable energy resource s uncertainty as well uncertain energy deviation prices in the electricity market. Scenario generation methods for wind speed realizations are also studied. Results show that the introduction of stochastic programming represents an improvement over a deterministic model. |
DOI / handle | http://hdl.handle.net/2099.1/23235 |
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Publication Type | Funded research projects |
Year of Publication | 2014 |
Authors | F.- Javier Heredia; Ma. Pilar Muñoz; Josep Anton Sánchez; Maria Dolores Márquez; Eugenio Mijangos; Marlyn Dayana Cuadrado Guevara |
Type of participation | Principal Investigator (IP) |
Duration | 01/2014-12/2016 |
Call | PROGRAMA ESTATAL DE INVESTIGACIÓN, DESARROLLO E INNOVACIÓN ORIENTADA A LOS RETOS DE LA SOCIEDAD |
Funding organization | Ministry of Economy and Competitivity, Government of Spain |
Partners | Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya; Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (Catalonia) Euskal Herriko Unibersitatea (Basc Country) Universidad Pontificia de Comillas (Madrid) Universidade Paulista Júlia de Mesquita Filho (Brasil) North Carolina State University (USA) Electrical Utilities: Iberdrola, Gas Natural - Fenosa. Research centers: Catalonia Institute for Energy Research. |
Full time researchers | 4,5 |
Budget | 49.000€ |
Project code | MTM2013-48462-C2-1-R |
Key Words | research; MTM2013-48462; forecasting, optimization, wind generation, energy markets; mineco; competitive; public; project; energy |
Abstract | The coordinated project " Forecasting and Optimization of Wind Generation in Energy Markets" ( FOWGEM) aims at aplying a global approach to the problem of the optimal integration of the wind-enery generation of a generation company in the wholesale electricity market through the combination of statistical forecasting models, mathematical programming models for electricity markets and optimization algorithms. In the framework of the Spanish Strategy for Science and Technology and Innovation 2013-2020 this project contributes fundamentally to challenge 3, " safe, sustainable and clean energy ." Indeed, the forecasting and optimization models and procedures that will be developed in this project, are the necessary mechanisms to allow the competitive and safe integration of wind-energy generation in the multiple-markets based wholesale national energy production system. The FOWGEM project adopts an original and global approach to this problem that combines advanced methodologies in the area of statistics, mathematical modeling of energy markets and theoretical and computatitonal optimization that were developed in several previous projects of the Plan Nacional by the groups of the Universidad Politècnica de Catalunya and the Universidad Pontificia de Comillas . The main objecives of the project are:
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Publication Type | Report |
Year of Publication | 2013 |
Authors | Simona Sacripante; F.-Javier Heredia; Cristina Corchero |
Pages | 17 |
Date | 11/2013 |
Reference | Research report DR 2013/06, Dept. of Statistics and Operations Research. E-Prints UPC, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya |
Prepared for | Submitted |
Key Words | research; electricity markets; wind generator; stochastic programming |
Abstract | Wind power generation has a key role in Spanish electricity system since it is a native source of energy that could help Spain to reduce its dependency on the exterior for the production of electricity. Apart from the great environmental benefits produced, wind energy reduce considerably spot energy price, reaching to cover 16,6 % of peninsular demand. Although, wind farms show high investment costs and need an efficient incentive scheme to be financed. If on one hand, Spain has been a leading country in Europe in developing a successful incentive scheme, nowadays tariff deficit and negative economic conjunctures asks for consistent reductions in the support mechanism and demand wind producers to be able to compete into the market with more mature technologies. The objective of this work is to find an optimal commercial strategy in the production market that would allow wind producer to maximize their daily profit. That can be achieved on one hand, increasing incomes in daily and intraday markets, on the other hand, reducing deviation costs due to error in generation predictions. We will previously analyze market features and common practices in use and then develop our own sale strategy solving a two-stage linear stochastic optimization problem. The first stage variable will be the sale bid in the day–ahead market while second stage variables will be the offers to the six sessions of intraday market. The model is implemented using real data from a wind producer leader in Spain. |
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Publication Type | Conference Paper |
Year of Publication | 2012 |
Authors | Simona Sacripante; F.-Javier Heredia; Cristina Corchero |
Conference Name | 9th International Conference on Computational Management Science. |
Conference Date | 18-20/04/2012 |
Conference Location | London |
Type of Work | Invited presentation |
Key Words | research; stochastic programming; wind producer; renewable energy; multimarket; electricity market; optimal bid; DPI2008-02153 |
Abstract | Wind power generation has a key role in Spanish electricity system since it is a native source of energy that could help Spain to reduce its dependency on the exterior for the production of electricity. Apart from the great environmental benefits produced, wind energy reduce considerably spot energy price, reaching to cover 16,6 % of peninsular demand. Although, wind farms show high investment costs and need an efficient incentive scheme to be financed. If on one hand, Spain has been a leading country in Europe in developing a successful incentive scheme, nowadays tariff deficit and negative economic conjunctures asks for consistent reductions in the support mechanism and demand wind producers to be able to compete into the market with more mature technologies. The objective of this work is to find an optimal commercial strategy in the production market that would allow wind producer to maximize their daily profit. That can be achieved on one hand, increasing incomes in day-ahead and intraday markets, on the other hand, reducing deviation costs due to error in generation predictions. We will previously analyze market features and common practices in use and then develop our own sale strategy solving a two-stage linear stochastic optimization problem. The first stage variable will be the sale bid in the day–ahead market while second stage variables will be the offers to the six sessions of intraday market. The model is implemented using real data from a wind producer leader in Spain. |
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